How Big Banks Fail and What to Do About It
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Can a Company Really Be Too Big to Fail?
The break from normal practice divided the administration. But the White House, by offering its quiet support to the Fed and the FDIC, plainly agreed with their compelling argument that the alternative was to risk a systemic crisis in the financial industry. Small banks were apoplectic. Gradually, lenders to big banks understood that their money was no longer at risk.
Too Big to Fail Banks: Where Are They Now?
And the banks realized that the bigger and more complicated they got, the safer they would be from market discipline—and so they became. Of course, the financial industry changed in response to many other forces, too, including shifting market demand, global competition, and increasing investment in the stock market. Long-Term, a money manager for wealthy investors, used exotic, often unregulated, financial instruments called derivatives to bet on the up-and-down movement of certain securities and financial markets.
In the summer of , after four years of good profits, the firm miscalculated badly. Like Continental, it had exercised its American right to take risks—and it screwed up. There would be no way for the hedge fund to pay its debts should anything go wrong, and now it had. The investment banks had to keep up with the commercial banks as competition intensified and their profit margins shrank, so they had poured their money into Long-Term, too.
This forced selling would instantly drive down the price of everything from junk bonds to mortgage securities, causing problems for other firms that had borrowed against similar collateral—and for the broader economy. Lenders to Long-Term lost nothing. Now, lenders to all complex financial firms enjoyed the same implicit protection from normal failure mechanisms that the biggest commercial banks had. The new precedent was stunning.
In , a prominent American investment firm, Drexel Burnham Lambert, had declared bankruptcy and the financial world survived; in , just three years before the Long-Term rescue, a large British-based investment bank, Barings, had gone bankrupt, also with no horrific repercussions.
As the dust settled from the Long-Term debacle, Washington tried to backtrack, pointing out that no taxpayer money had been used in the bailout. F rom that absence sprang the current financial crisis.
In turn, the firms lent too much to American consumers. Between and , total debt in the economy more than doubled as a percentage of gross domestic product. Massive amounts of cheap debt helped create the asset bubble that burst, starting in , and took the global economy with it.
Darrell Duffie: How big banks fail and what to do about it
True, the feds declined to bail out Lehman Brothers, letting its lenders take losses. If it had permitted disorderly failure in either or , the short-term consequences would have been dire, bringing the risk of a deep recession as financial firms and instruments failed and survivors tightened lending. Similarly, it was economically impossible for President George W. Bush to force lenders to Bear Stearns, Citigroup, and AIG to take losses when there was no consistent, orderly process through which they could do so without risk to the economy.
Uninsured depositors and other lenders had come to expect bailouts over the decades and had acted accordingly, running risks that left themselves, and the economy, vulnerable to systemic catastrophe. A sudden shutdown of an inadequately regulated financial industry could have resulted in a depression.
Too Big to Fail Banks: Where Are They Now?
After their ad hoc rescue of Continental Illinois, regulators and elected officials should have presented it to the public as harsh evidence that the old regulations to wind down bad financial institutions had stopped working, necessitating credible new ones that would let uninsured lenders to banks know that they risked warranted losses. Such enforcement of market discipline might have prevented Long-Term Capital Management from happening 14 years later.
After it did happen, the government, once again, should have instituted regulations to protect the economy from both disorderly failures and exploding financial instruments. Instead, we have had two and a half decades of punting on the key regulatory questions. The Obama administration claims that it wants to create a way for bad financial firms to fail. R eintroducing a predictable, credible way for lenders to financial firms to take losses when failure strikes would go a long way toward protecting the economy from speculative excesses.
Market forces, coupled with overdue new rules for inadequately regulated financial instruments, would have a better chance of reducing reckless risk-taking before it got out of control. As a first step, the government should create an FDIC-style conservatorship for failed big or complex financial institutions. A new kind of bankruptcy could come into play in such a process, says University of Texas business-law professor Jay Westbrook. It might keep some lenders and trading partners on derivatives from seizing their collateral immediately and selling it.
It is also the backup federal supervisor of the remaining banks and thrifts. When a bank fails, the FDIC handles the resolution in bankruptcy usually by selling its deposits and loans to another bank.
follow url Since the FDIC has experience managing bank failures, after the financial crisis, regulators around the world looked to it for guidance. Also, shareholders, creditors and top management will be held accountable for the failed financial institution. And it puts the FDIC onto new terrain. The experience of the crisis and the enactment of the Dodd-Frank changed that. A bank seen as too big to fail distorts the market, Gruenberg said.
This gives banks more confidence to place riskier bets — enhancing the dangers they pose to the financial system. It is critical that this important work continue. Louis Fed President James Bullard on monetary policy, economic growth, the inverted yield curve, the repo rate spike and more. Blockchain is overhyped, cryptocurrencies are not feasible and cybersecurity is the biggest threat society faces, according to QED's Amias Gerety. The company rapidly expanded in an era when a diminished supply of attractive[…]. Log In or sign up to comment. If, as is now the common belief, that banks do not need to have cash on hand to make loans, how is it possible for a bank to actually become insolvent?
Edward Dodson If, as is now the common belief, that banks do not need to have cash on hand to make loans, how is it possible for a bank to actually become insolvent?